Cutting to the chase–there are some undesirable issues to the electoral college system. To put it in simple terms, the only states that matter are swing states. This impacts both conservative and liberal polities because we are now focusing all the “output” of an election’s campaigns in those swing state geographies.
If we think about the election as an event that generates economic output to affect some kind of exchange–like a campaign trying to win votes by spending money on said campaign and what campaigns do–we’re basically redistributing wealth from the public to a handful of states. The Democrats raised hundreds of million of dollars for the Harris campaign and frankly the 7-9 swing states are getting almost all of it. It’s even more lopsided on the Republican side where about 2-3 states are getting almost all of it.
This is not about the argument related to popular votes. I think that’s one way (of many) to solve the problem, but we should identify what the problem is. I think there is a strong and compelling reason, though, to think that these national/federal political offices should serve every state in the Union, or at least at the campaign level. Fundamentally if we concede that modern (well, since Citizen United) federal elections are basically Money Raising/Spending Contests, all the more I think there is a commercial or monetary interest for each state to get those dollars. It makes no sense to try to keep the current status at your own loss.
We are talking about 100s of millions of dollars spent in Georgia or Pennsylvania between both Dems and GOP’s presidential campaigns. Sure, a lot of it is going to mobilize volunteers or whatever, but also a lot of it is going to plain old boring TV, radio and internet ad spend. And isn’t it good for the state with this money, motivating its citizens to be more politically active? At least I think that is a great side effect about elections that is now captured mostly by the battleground states.
Which is to say, all the benefits of an election is being captured largely by a few states! The rest of us are saddled with infinite fundraising spam. Well, those in the BG states also get endless attack ads to balance things out maybe, and people canvassing their neighborhood to win votes. This is an everyday thing that most of us don’t see often, maybe once in a while.
As for representation, the bicameral parliament and electoral college system ensure that Americans don’t get equal say in federal affairs. Moving it to a popular vote is not an issue for me, but the more meaningful fix would be breaking up congress into the European-style multi-party mess that we know yields a more stable polity, or at least one that’s more responsive to the people.
Fundamentally, American politics is there already, it’s just the inertia of what already exists ensures that there can only be two bandwagons at a time. The check-and-balance system by definition skews conservative because it is easy to stop legislation and keep the status quo, until the Supreme Court is hijacked like the way it is today. For sure we aren’t going to change the way we pass laws, let alone what’s enshrined in the Constitution.
Presidential elections are for sure one of those “hate the game, not the player” situation. And the efforts to change it like
PS. Solving the “problem” here is not about crafting an electoral system that is disadvantageous to the Trump campaign or Republicans, but one that actually address a real shortfall of the current system. For example, what if dark money and super PACs played a much less role? We already know 75% of the funds in 2024’s election come from the top 1%. Some folks might get their panties in a bunch about States Rights when talking about a popular-vote based election, but I don’t know why anyone would be against, at least, putting a contribution limit on corporations for SuperPACs. And if you believe in State Rights, you would be fine with the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, right? Texas and California generates more of the US “GDP” than all of the swing states combined (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin), but those voters literally get zero say with our current system. And 39 other states (plus DC)! Why couldn’t states work together and pool their votes based on a set rule? I think this question is really the true fascist litmus test. The Pre-Emancipated South would have failed it. Would 2024 Republicans, too? Only time will tell.